[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":38},["ShallowReactive",2],{"researchInfo-show-2112460284641181696":3},{"isNewRecord":4,"id":5,"remarks":6,"createBy":7,"updateBy":7,"createDate":8,"updateDate":8,"status":9,"bpm":10,"category":11,"title":25,"href":6,"color":6,"image":6,"keywords":6,"description":6,"weight":26,"source":27,"hits":28,"publishDate":29,"wordCount":30,"articleData":31,"position":35,"fileUrl":6,"company":36,"url":37},false,"2112460284641181696","","liqiusheng","2026-10-20 16:25","0",{"view":4},{"isNewRecord":4,"id":12,"categoryCode":12,"categoryName":13,"site":14,"isNeedAudit":9,"isSearch":19,"sortGradeList":20,"categoryCodeList":21,"roleCodeList":22,"url":23,"adminUrl":6,"isTreeLeaf":4,"isRoot":24},"B05001001","农产品",{"isNewRecord":4,"id":15,"siteCode":15,"siteName":16,"url":17,"solutionPath":18,"isCurrentSite":4},"sub1","交子期货站点","/js/f/index-sub1.html","views/modules/cmsfront/themes/null","1",[],[],[],"/js/f/list-B05001001.html",true,"棉花：美棉小幅走低，国内期棉回撤整理",0,"2",1,"2026-10-20 16:25:54",751,{"isNewRecord":4,"id":5,"content":32,"extend":33},"\u003C!--HTML-->\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">【市场波动】隔夜，美棉+0.22%。 国内期棉指数上周五15755-0.35%。夜盘国内棉花延续走低，受到整体市场走弱的扰动。\u003C/p>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">【基本面综述】\u003C/p>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">外盘：近期美棉走势保持反弹，但注意美元走强，对商品的宏观压力增加，这个影响已经显性化。USDA月报，提高美棉产量2%，库存增加20万包，利空；但ICAC报告则放大26/27年度全球棉花产量降幅至3.8%，利多。整体看：美棉技术支撑有效。市场关注美棉出口进度。\u003C/p>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">国内：截至9月底，纺织企业在库棉花工业库存量为85.5万吨，较上月底减少1万吨；可支配棉花库存量为92.8万吨，较上月底减少5.6万吨。其中：27%的企业增加棉花库存，23%选择去库存，50%保持不变。用棉结构继续以消化国内棉花为主。\u003C/p>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">【现货报价】\u003C/p>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">中国棉花指数：10月19日，中棉3128B 17417-15、2227B15844-25、  2129B 17698-24。\u003C/p>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">新棉开秤及折算：新疆机采棉进程明显加快，北疆已临近尾声，南疆进入高峰期。南疆籽棉在收购中占比有所提升，由于衣分率优于北疆，带动收购价格总体走强。手摘棉价格为8.3-8.5元/公斤；机采棉为7.2-7.5元/公斤，较国庆期间小幅上涨0.03—0.10元/公斤。多数棉农认可当前价格，选择顺价批量交售；优质地块棉农对棉价抱有更高预期，挺价意愿相对较强，局部存在惜售情绪。\u003C/p>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">【操作建议】外盘，美棉指数技术支撑维持80美分整数位，验证有效。国内，市场重点关注新棉采摘和开秤铺开。技术形态看15500~15800支撑力度有效，期价贴水幅度偏大，需要修复。\u003C/p>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">20日，因整体市场疲弱，期棉调整幅度放大，预期指数将有在15680~16000区间的整理过程。 保持多头思维并继续关注逢低增持机会。\u003C/p>\u003Cp style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">（交子期货 李攀峰 期货交易咨询资格证号 Z0024490）\u003C/p>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr/>\u003C/p>",{"extendS1":6,"extendS5":6,"extendS3":6,"extendS4":6,"extendS7":6,"extendMap":34,"extendS6":6,"extendS2":6,"extendS8":6},{},"2,3","成都交子金融控股集团有限公司","/js/f/view-B05001001-2112460284641181696.html",1793266800128]